One of the most important lessons about Donald Trump’s 2024 election victory is that, in foresight, it was predictable long ...

Additionally, a dynamic hierarchical Bayesian model has been introduced to forecast U.S. Senate elections. This model balances predictions based on time-sensitive opinion polls with fundamental ...

Vice president JD Vance has a huge lead now, but there are some other candidates who could help you cash in four years from now.

Canada's federal elections are due to take place on 20 October, but the pressure is growing to bring them forward. With US ...

Tens of thousands of Germans have protested in Berlin and other cities against the rise of the far-right, anti-immigrant ...

As polls are around the corner in the national capital, a few pre-poll surveys have predicted election results. Here’s what ...

Political observers CNA spoke to based their prediction on the terms of reference for the Electoral Boundaries Review ...

Wagering on elections in the United States using event contracts may now seem like an established thing, but there is still ...

Can BP rock Aam Aadmi Party's boat and end its decades-long power drought in Delhi? Here's what punters are betting on.

Polymarket reached a milestone of over $10B in total prediction positions, as volumes recovered for new events and markets.

Germany’s opposition leader says his party will bring motions to toughen migration policy to parliament next week in one of ...