These puzzles showcase the base rate fallacy; the second one is also an example of the false positive paradox. When people ...

Numerous faked images and a string of startlingly inaccurate responses from Gemini and Grok are part of a tidal wave of AI slop engulfing coverage of the Iran war ...

You have probably encountered the base rate fallacy, and it probably fooled you. Part mathematical paradox and part cognitive bias, this mental oversight has surprisingly forceful things to say ...

March Madness is here! It's one of the greatest events on the sports calendar, especially if you're building a bracket and ...

Bombs, government oppression and fear are wearing down Iranians. How does trauma accumulate? And what can help people endure ...

Poodle crossbreeds have grown overwhelmingly popular, sparking controversy in dog parks and kennel clubs alike.

Part of getting to know all about Predictions Markets is understanding the terminology. Some of these words and phrases may be new to you or you may already be ...

Celebrate Pi Day and read all about how this number pops up across math and science on our special Pi Day page. Grab something circular, like a cup, measure the distance around the circle, and divide ...

What do a 20th-century physicist, an 18th-century statistician and an ancient Greek philosopher have in common? They all knew how to extrapolate with incredible accuracy. Columnist Jacob Aron explains ...

NASA has finished a crucial step toward getting its Artemis II moon mission off the ground, and is now targeting early April to send four astronauts on an unprecedented path.

From upsets to the men's college basketball champion, these are the best Kalshi March Madness contracts to trade in the NCAA Tournament— and how to approach them.

In the 20th-century statistics wars, Bayesians were underdogs. Now their methods may help speed treatments to market.